Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.983801e+00 2.385324 2.818351 3.316879 3.871805 4.467516 5.152305
2025-02-02 1.404981e+00 1.941002 2.570157 3.349030 4.273484 5.322633 6.590126
2025-02-09 9.557349e-01 1.530770 2.266401 3.241719 4.467126 5.924364 7.756557
2025-02-16 6.523272e-01 1.222411 2.018015 3.143090 4.629901 6.469438 8.858872
2025-02-23 4.687783e-01 1.027657 1.874825 3.143321 4.892579 7.127413 10.105561
2025-03-02 3.220255e-01 0.843258 1.706630 3.075786 5.042447 7.630780 11.160510
2025-03-09 2.543519e-01 0.772805 1.694145 3.219254 5.474982 8.505885 12.704779
2025-03-16 1.810532e-01 0.663799 1.596966 3.218420 5.694445 9.095513 13.885492
2025-03-23 1.486230e-01 0.630537 1.621537 3.402807 6.182269 10.056294 15.571334
2025-03-30 1.159209e-01 0.582467 1.609430 3.522345 6.574047 10.890565 17.101654
2025-04-06 8.481412e-02 0.522357 1.562518 3.575900 6.863283 11.584147 18.451421
2025-04-13 5.488063e-02 0.444535 1.463835 3.528044 6.988814 12.043642 19.485694
2025-04-20 3.856301e-02 0.402790 1.436184 3.606369 7.320767 12.817016 20.983020
2025-04-27 2.604201e-02 0.363766 1.406626 3.677129 7.641680 13.581174 22.481879
2025-05-04 1.287145e-02 0.297092 1.294458 3.580301 7.683290 13.934254 23.410234
2025-05-11 5.280188e-03 0.240191 1.189471 3.483128 7.714466 14.267115 24.310892
2025-05-18 2.180224e-03 0.206784 1.138741 3.487421 7.912888 14.851597 25.575719
2025-05-25 4.554614e-04 0.167717 1.057124 3.416891 7.976013 15.228138 26.544325
2025-06-01 1.776001e-04 0.161345 1.079959 3.571809 8.437086 16.222686 28.419229
2025-06-08 4.645849e-06 0.137628 1.034697 3.571382 8.621028 16.790155 29.678899
2025-06-15 5.501765e-08 0.137371 1.076193 3.769310 9.165679 17.927733 31.784870
2025-06-22 NaN 0.129839 1.087348 3.897468 9.586706 18.877268 33.624733
2025-06-29 NaN 0.116190 1.069125 3.954860 9.879215 19.628108 35.179634